Final Pre-Election Field Poll Shows Growing Support for Prop. 71, While Opposition to Prop. 72 Has Surpassed Support
Voters remain positive toward Props. 61 and 63. but more negative toward Prop. 67
In its final pre-election survey, The Field Poll finds that voter support for Prop. 71 is leading opposition by 17 percentage points (54% to 37%). Support has grown over the past three months while opposition has declined. The two chief reasons that continue to attract voter support are: “a need for more medical research / belief in medical advances” and “finding cures for disease / to help treat people and save lives.”
Those opposed to the measure give a wide array of reasons; no single reason is cited by more than one in four “no” voters. The reasons include: “it’s too expensive / state can’t afford it” and “it’s immoral, unethical / scientists shouldn’t be playing God.”
In contrast to Prop. 71’s growing support, Prop. 72’s comfortable 17-point lead in August has vanished. The latest survey shows that those intending to vote “no” now exceed those intending to vote “yes” — 42 to 41%. An increasing proportion of “no” voters, 43%, say the main reason for opposing Prop. 72 is “it would increase the cost of doing business in California / makes business less competitive / would be bad for business.”
Those in favor of Prop. 72 continue to state two primary reasons for their support: “it’s a step in the right direction / will expand insurance coverage” and “employers should share in the costs / do their part / contribute to the health care of their workers.”
Prop. 67 (Emergency Medical Services) opposition has out-polled support throughout the campaign and the gap widened in the latest poll, with 50 percent now intending to vote “no.” Two reasons are cited most often by opponents: “oppose adding a surcharge to phone bills” and “it’s another tax increase.”
When “yes” voters are asked their reasons for supporting the initiative, no single answer predominates. About one in five say the following: “the additional telephone fee is modest,” “emergency services are important / would improve services,” and “emergency services are under funded.”
Finally, voters continue to show strong support for Prop. 63 (Mental Health Services) — 56% are poised to vote “yes.” And support for Prop. 61 (Children’s Hospital Bonds) has now grown to a nearly two-to-one margin–54 percent “yes” to 29% “no.”
In cooperation with The Field Poll, the California HealthCare Foundation sponsors open-ended questions about the reasons why voters intend to vote “yes” or “no” on Propositions 72, 71, and 67. A complete summary of Field Poll results is available at www.HealthVote.org.
HealthVote.org is a Web site sponsored by the California HealthCare Foundation and the Center for Governmental Studies. It provides non-partisan, detailed voter information about this November’s five health-related ballot propositions.
About the California Health Care Foundation
The California Health Care Foundation is dedicated to advancing meaningful, measurable improvements in the way the health care delivery system provides care to the people of California, particularly those with low incomes and those whose needs are not well served by the status quo. We work to ensure that people have access to the care they need, when they need it, at a price they can afford.